I don't see buy-back as a likely outcome.
I, personally, have no doubt that Volkswagen have committed fraud - others disagree. In my opinion, the major fraud was against the approvals organisations, who approved the vehicles based on fraudulently produced results. But these organisations aren't the owners of the affected vehicles.
I believe we owners are victims of fraud, in that the vehicle we own is
technically not what we thought we were buying. Volkswagen is a premium brand, for which people pay a price premium, and expect premium quality - for many, that premium quality included the "clean diesel" technology that Volkswagen were touting as a premium feature. That
particular feature we did not receive.
If we accept that a fraud was committed, then,
technically speaking, rescission of the contract is a potential remedy - both parties are restored to the position they would've been in had the contract not been executed. This typically means the party seeking the remedy gives back all benefits obtained under the contract - how do you give back years of ownership of a vehicle? How does Volkswagen get back a factory-fresh vehicle? What is the appropriate price for buying back any given vehicle? A potential s***-storm of unimaginable proportions.
I believe that the most any court (in a modern, first world country) will award is compensation; partly a return of part of the "premium" owners paid for the "clean diesel" technology that they didn't get, partly compensation for being a "victim" of a fraud. Gut feel is that will be single-digit thousands for most vehicles, maybe getting into low double-digits for the most expensive affected vehicles, but I have no concrete basis for selecting these figures. However a suitable figure is calculated, I think it is most likely to be based on a percentage of the original purchase price, and not age or condition of the vehicle now.
So, ultimately I agree that any "Plea bargain" may include accelerated settling of class actions, but I doubt that buy-back will feature anywhere.
But I'm often wrong, so stay tuned for the announcement of a buy-back.
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